The UEFA Champions League is heading into its decisive stages with four teams still in the running, and there’s a clear favorite according to the betting odds: FC Barcelona. Under the guidance of Hansi Flick, they’ve found their best form again, having delivered a standout campaign in the group stage and solid eliminations of Benfica and Borussia Dortmund. Now, they’re seen as the top contender to lift the "Orejona" on May 31st in Munich. Their performance has been impressive: they have the most wins, the most goals, and the strongest tactical consistency.

PSG, the Closest Rival

However, Paris Saint-Germain isn’t far behind. Led by Luis Enrique, the team started a bit slow, but they’ve shown resilience by knocking out favorites Liverpool and overcoming a tough Aston Villa side. With a squad full of talent and European experience, the Parisians are still close to the Barcelona odds, just a few cents behind, showing how tight this race is.

Behind them, the Arsenal and Inter Milan have lower odds. Even though the Gunners knocked out Real Madrid with authority and Inter eliminated Bayern Munich at their own stadium, the stats and betting odds point to a potential final between Barcelona and PSG at the Allianz Arena.

Stats Back the Favorites

The supercomputer at Opta supports this prediction: it gives Barcelona a 27.8% chance of winning the title, while PSG comes in slightly behind at 25.7%. These odds are a bit higher than Arsenal’s (24.3%) and leave Inter trailing further behind at 16.6%. These percentages come from thousands of simulations that consider each team’s current form, their opponents, and individual player performances.

With a Barcelona side on the rise, a determined PSG aiming to make history, and the trophy up for grabs, the semifinals promise some high-voltage action. While the betting odds favor the Catalans, the Parisians aren’t planning on backing down easily in this race to conquer Europe.

The final outcome is close, and if this year’s Champions League has shown anything, it’s that surprises are always just around the corner.