Real Madrid’s Champions League campaign has hit a critical juncture after the tough defeat at Anfield against Liverpool. Currently sitting in 24th place—the last position that grants access to the playoffs—the reigning European champions face a challenging path to advance in this year’s competition.

How the Format Works

Under the new Champions League structure, the top eight teams in the league phase progress directly to the Round of 16. Teams ranked from 9th to 24th must navigate a two-legged playoff to earn their place in the knockout rounds. However, finishing 25th or lower means elimination without even a Europa League safety net.

For Real Madrid, the focus is on securing a spot in at least the top 24, though climbing higher could make their path smoother.

Madrid’s Remaining Fixtures

With three matches left in the league phase, the schedule poses significant challenges:

• Atalanta (Away, December 10)
  An in-form Atalanta, known for their attacking prowess, will host Madrid in what promises to be a high-stakes battle.
• RB Salzburg (Home, January 22)
  The Austrian side is a resilient opponent, and Madrid will need to make the most of their home advantage in this crucial fixture.
• Brest (Away, January 29)
  A trip to Brest closes out the group stage, but underestimating any opponent could prove costly for the 14-time champions.

The Math for Madrid

To stay alive in the competition:

1. Secure Points: Madrid needs to avoid slipping below 24th place. Winning at least two of their remaining matches is likely necessary to ensure a playoff spot.
2. Improve Goal Difference: Tiebreakers could play a key role, making every goal crucial.
3. Climb Higher: A strong finish could see Madrid climb closer to the top 16, potentially setting up a less daunting playoff matchup.

Ancelotti’s Confidence

Despite the setbacks, Carlo Ancelotti remains optimistic. "We will qualify and compete in this Champions League like we always have. The path is clear—we must keep fighting, improving, and recovering players," the Italian coach stated.

The Challenge Ahead

Madrid has never failed to advance past the group stage in the Champions League era. However, the revamped format and their current form have raised doubts. Can Los Blancos rise to the occasion, or will history be made for all the wrong reasons?

The road to survival starts now.